Kobia Koome: Why Ruto Must Be Worried About Gachagua’s Attacks Ahead of 2027

By Kobia Koome

President William Ruto still enjoys the advantages of incumbency, but one political challenge is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore—Rigathi Gachagua’s relentless attacks on his administration.

Since their political fallout, Gachagua has transformed himself into the government’s fiercest critic. Hardly a week passes without him questioning the administration’s record on the economy, governance, security or the cost of living. His strategy is simple: remain visible and shape the political conversation long before the 2027 campaigns officially begin.

That should concern the President.

Politics is not only about performance; it is also about perception. By consistently attacking the government, Gachagua is attempting to convince Kenyans that Kenya Kwanza has failed to deliver on its promises. Whether that message is accurate is for voters to decide, but its repetition ensures it remains in the public mind.

Equally important is the battle for Mt. Kenya.

The region was central to Ruto’s 2022 victory, and Gachagua is working to reclaim political influence there through frequent meetings at his Wamunyoro residence. If he succeeds in convincing the region that he remains its leading political voice, Ruto’s re-election path could become more complicated.

The President still holds significant advantages. He controls the machinery of government and has time to demonstrate results. But history shows that incumbency alone does not win elections. Public sentiment, economic performance and political alliances often determine the outcome.

Gachagua, however, must also prove that he offers more than criticism. To become a serious presidential contender, he will need a compelling national agenda and support beyond his traditional political base.

One thing is already clear. The battle for 2027 has started early, and Gachagua is determined to define it. If President Ruto allows his former deputy to continue setting the political agenda unchecked, he may find himself defending narratives instead of leading them. That is why State House cannot afford to underestimate Gachagua’s relentless political offensive.